Mediterranean-wide analysis of the olive-olive fly system
The Mediterranean Basin is expected to be particularly vulnerable to climate change including pronounced climate warming and desertification. Olive ( Olea europaea ) is of eco-social importance in the Mediterranean where it was domesticated, and it is also considered a sensitive climate indicator. This crop and its major pest, the olive fly Bactrocera oleae are a suitable model system to study Mediterranean climate. A weather-driven physiologically-based demographic model (PBDM) of olive and olive fly ( http://cnr.berkeley.edu/casas/ ) is being used to analyze this plant-pest system in the Mediterranean region based on ERA-40 weather data ( http://www.ecmwf.int/ ) downscaled via the regional climate model RegCM3 coupled to the MIT ocean model. PBDM predictions are mapped with the open source GIS GRASS ( http://grass.osgeo.org/ ). Ponti L., Gutierrez A.P., Ruti P.M., 2009. The olive– Bactrocera oleae system in the Mediterranean Basin: a physiologically based analysis driven by the